Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency brought new economic tensions, especially as aggressive tariffs and even rhetoric suggests annexation of Canada, a sudden shift in Canada’s political landscape took place. For Poilievre, who was once regarded as the next prime minister, this “Trump effect” has become toxic.
How does Trump’s influence conduct polls in Canada?
In February, Pierre Poilievre looked unstoppable. His populist tone, intense criticism of “awakening” politics and laser focus on the cost of life crisis have made his campaign huge momentum. Conservative strategists ride high and are expected to win a landslide. But all of this changed quickly.
Canadians across the political field became uneasy as Donald Trump put forward new tariffs on Canadian exports and proposed extreme moves such as annexation. Poilievre’s decision not to directly criticize Trump during these developments has attracted attention. Instead, he kept the attack on liberal Mark Carney – which could cost him.
Polls now show that liberals are growing rapidly. Conservative leaders collapsed a double-digit deficit almost overnight, making it one of the fastest public opinion in modern Canadian political history.
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Why is Pierre Poilievre fighting female voters?
Poilievre’s aggressive style has won him great support from young male voters. He is known for his straightforward speeches, combative debates and viral moments – just like his 2023 clips calmly eating apples while challenging reporters. The video caused a sensation in the Republican circles in the United States, cementing his image as a bold, unconscious leader. However, the same approach is also the opposite of other groups, especially women. Poilievre is now the least favorite party leader of all demographics, polls show. Female voters, in particular, are moving away from conservatives, fueling a surge for liberal Mark Carney. Even the left-wing New Democratic voters are abandoning their candidates to stop possible conservative victory. Last weekend, Poilievre tried to change his tone. In popular French TV shows tout le monde en parlehe highlighted a more promising message.
“I am the leader of the opposition. Now, I am preparing to become Prime Minister.” “It’s time to show hope.”
Still, many observers wonder if it’s too little, it’s too late.
Are conservative supporters echoing Trump-style rhetoric?
Despite the campaign trying to keep a distance from Trump, some of his supporters are echoing familiar slogans in Maga Playbook. At a recent rally in Brampton, people wore sweatshirts that read “Do you believe in polls?” – doubts about media and election predictions.
“The polls are so huge, they don’t seem to be well put together,” said Rallyman Paul Micucci, who insists that Poilievre is still secretly leading by eight points.
Some fans even used the term “too big rather than rig” to describe Poilievre’s big rally, a clear reference to the language of Trump-era election denial.
In response, liberal supporters began to lean towards narratives. In a conservative meeting, they distributed the button reading “Stop Stealing,” a pointed thud designed to resemble American-style political drama.
Can Poilievre turn it around before Election Day?
With just two weeks to go before the Canadian federal election, the Conservatives’ bet has never been so high. The internal cracks are growing, and blame is flying.
Ontario’s powerful Conservative Prime Minister Doug Ford supported strategist Kory Teneycke, who said:
“If Kory is doing this sport, I don’t think Mr. Poilievre is in his position now.”
Poilievre is now preparing for the only two debates in the campaign and will play against Carney on Wednesday and Thursday. Conservative insiders say the debates are the last record of his resetting narrative and establishing connections on issues such as affordability and national security.
Strategist Jamie Ellerton clearly stated:
“To get Pierre to finish the deal and get the results the Conservatives want in this election, he needs to talk to the anxiety facing Canadians.”
But it could be a tough battle as the momentum goes to liberals and worry about Trump’s economic impact on Canada.
“At this point, changing direction will take real extraordinary,” Ellerton said. “But two weeks are also a life of politics.”
