Study estimates 62% of the risk of triggering climate conversion points under continuous warming

A new study estimates that the risk of triggering a climate “cutting point” is 62% based on current policies and results warming. The collapse of borneol and the death of coral reefs are some tipping points or no returns, and scientists expect this to happen under the ongoing global warming. The impact on the critical points of society and ecosystems is said to be sudden and irreversible.

In this study, researchers from the University of Exeter in the UK and the University of Hamburg in Germany analyzed the risks of such conversion points in low, medium, and high emission scenarios.

The authors published in the research in the journal Earth System Dynamics.
It is estimated that 53% of the critical points in the Amazon rainforest in South America occur.

“Climate turning points can have devastating consequences for humanity. It’s clear that we are currently on a dangerous trajectory – unless we quickly change courses, it’s very likely that the tipping point will trigger.”

However, with the emissions addressed, the risk of triggering the critical point was found to be greatly reduced to 37%. “The good news from our research is that the power to prevent climate turning points is still in our hands,” said Jakob Deutloff, a researcher at the University of Hamburg. “By lower emissions, by moving towards a more sustainable future, the risk of triggering these turning points is greatly reduced.”

“When emphasizing the urgency of global climate action, “if the risk of triggering (the tipping point) is to be reduced, quick action is needed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions because the climate tipping point is already close and will decide whether it will cross over in the coming decades.” ”